Elon Musk shares his unfiltered thoughts on work, consciousness, family, and the future of humanity.
He explains his vision for AI, space, and free speech, revealing the philosophies that drive some of the world's most transformative technologies.
Key takeaways
- Inspired by The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy, the hardest part of understanding life's meaning is not finding the answer, but formulating the right question.
- A single human cannot build a spaceship because it's impossible to learn all the necessary skills in one lifetime. Complex achievements fundamentally require a collective of humans working together.
- Due to physics, Starlink cannot effectively serve densely populated cities. Its satellites are too far away, making it a complementary service to ground-based cell towers, primarily serving rural and underserved areas.
- Due to rapid advancements in AI and robotics, work will likely become optional within the next 10 to 20 years, turning it into a hobby rather than a necessity.
- Money is fundamentally an information system for allocating labor. Its value disappears when there is no labor to allocate, just as a trillion dollars would be useless on a desert island.
- Energy is the true, fundamental currency because it is based in physics. Unlike money, you cannot simply pass a law to create more energy; it must be genuinely harnessed.
- Elon Musk predicts that within three years, AI and robotics will increase the output of goods and services so dramatically that it will outpace money supply growth, leading to significant deflation.
- From a Darwinian perspective, the most interesting simulations are the most likely to survive, which suggests the most interesting outcome in our reality is the most likely.
- If we are in a simulation, the world outside is probably less interesting, because simulations are created to be a distillation of compelling events and data.
- A child is a product of both genetics and environment, comparable to a computer's hardware and software.
- Forcing an AI to believe falsehoods is incredibly dangerous because it can lead to atrocious outcomes, much like humans who believe in absurdities can commit atrocities.
- An AI guided by truth, beauty, and curiosity would likely preserve humanity because we are more interesting than a barren alternative like Mars.
- As digital content becomes ubiquitous and nearly free, the most scarce and valuable commodity will become live, in-person events.
- Historically, the court jester played a vital role by using humor to say things that couldn't be said directly, a function comedy can still serve in society today.
- Tariffs create market distortions. If you wouldn't want tariffs between cities or states, it raises the question of why you would want them between countries.
- Simple requirements, like adding a payment code and a comment field to federal transactions, could save the government up to $200 billion a year by making audits possible.
- Effective philanthropy is challenging. It's easy to give money away for the appearance of goodness, but very difficult to give it away for the reality of goodness.
- Don't pursue money directly. Instead, focus on providing useful products and services. If you successfully create value for society, financial success will follow as a natural consequence.
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Elon Musk's vision for X as a global collective consciousness
Elon Musk describes X, formerly Twitter, as having around 600 million monthly users, a number that can surge to 800 million or even a billion during major global events. He believes the platform's strength lies with people who think and read a lot, as it is primarily a text-based medium. However, he predicts the future of the internet and most interactions will be real-time video with AI, covering both comprehension and generation. While video accounts for most internet traffic, text remains more information-dense.
Musk explains his motivation for acquiring Twitter was a feeling that it was having a negative influence on the world. He perceived it as amplifying a far-left ideology, driven by its San Francisco base, which resulted in the suspension of many right-leaning accounts. His goal has been to restore the platform to be balanced and centrist. The new operating principle for X is to adhere to the laws of any given country without putting an additional thumb on the scale.
When asked about the future of social media, Musk states he is less interested in the category itself and more focused on building a specific vision for X. He aims to create a 'global town square' that brings the world together into a 'collective consciousness.' This is different from platforms that optimize for short-term engagement.
I guess [my goal is] different from just saying what is the most dopamine generating video stream that one could make. Which, I think can be a little bit of brain rot, frankly. If you're just watching videos that just cause dopamine hits one after another but lack substance, then I think those are not great.
To achieve this vision of a collective consciousness, X has introduced features like automatic translation to connect users across different language groups. When asked why this is important, Musk explains the ultimate goal is to increase humanity's understanding of the universe.
Finding the right questions to ask about the universe
Elon Musk ponders fundamental questions about the meaning of life, the origin of the universe, and why anything is important. He suggests that the most critical questions are the ones we do not even know how to ask yet. To understand what is going on in this reality, he draws inspiration from Douglas Adams' book, The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy.
Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is like a book on philosophy disguised as humor. Earth turns out to be this computer to figure out the answer of the meaning of life. And it comes up with the answer 42. But then it's like, what the heck does 42 mean? It turns out the hard part is the question, not the answer.
Following this line of thought, Elon concludes that we do not yet know how to frame the questions properly. He believes that by expanding the scope and scale of consciousness, humanity can better understand what questions to ask about the universe, which itself is the answer.
The power of the collective, from cells to spaceships
A discussion on collective consciousness begins with a comparison to the mob mentality seen in movies like Gladiator. Elon Musk refines this, noting that while modern society doesn't watch people kill each other, sports might be a euphemism for that, where teams "attempt to defeat each other, but minus the death."
He then shifts to a different kind of collective, starting at the cellular level. Humans begin as one cell but grow into a cooperative collective of over 30 trillion cells that feel like a single body. Similarly, the brain is a vast number of neurons that functions as one mind. This illustrates that a qualitative leap occurs when individual units form a collective. A single bacteria is silent, but trillions of human cells form a person you can talk to. This principle extends to humans.
A single human cannot make a spaceship. I could not make a spaceship by myself. But with a collection of humans, we can make spaceships. So there's something obviously qualitatively different about a collection of humans.
Achieving such a feat is impossible for one person because there isn't enough time in a single lifetime to learn all the required areas of expertise. The better the information flow within the human collective, the more it can achieve, ultimately leading to a better understanding of the universe.
When asked if this is like spirituality, Elon explains that he doesn't fully grasp the concept, though he acknowledges the feelings are real for others. He tends to be more "physics pulled," focusing on things with predictive value.
Physics, I would say, is the study of that which has predictive value. I think it's a pretty good definition.
This prompts Manoj Ladwa, a stockbroker, to point out the lack of predictive value in the stock market. Elon agrees regarding daily fluctuations but offers his long-term investment philosophy. He advises focusing on a company's products, its roadmap, and the quality of its team.
A company is just a group of people assembled to create products and services. So you have to say, well, how good are those products and services? Are they likely to continue to improve in the future? If so, then you should buy the stock of that company and then don't worry too much about the daily fluctuations.
Elon Musk explains the technology behind Starlink
When asked what he is most excited about, Elon Musk points to an increasing convergence between his companies: SpaceX, Tesla, and xAI. He believes the future involves solar-powered AI satellites in deep space, a vision that combines the expertise of all three ventures.
Elon provides updates on his various projects. He highlights Tesla's progress in autonomous driving, calling it the world leader in real-world AI. He also mentions the upcoming Optimus robot, which he hopes will enter production next year and become a personal helper for everyone, like a C-3PO or R2-D2. Meanwhile, SpaceX's Starlink program is providing low-cost, reliable internet in 150 countries, with hopes of operating in India soon.
Explaining how Starlink works, Elon describes a network of several thousand satellites in low Earth orbit, zipping around the Earth at about 550 kilometers. This low altitude ensures low latency. The satellites are interconnected with laser links, creating a mesh network that is highly resilient.
So if cables are damaged or cut like fiber cables, the satellites can communicate between each other and provide connectivity even if the cables are cut. For example, when the Red Sea cables were cut, the Starlink satellite network continued to function without a hitch.
This makes the system especially useful in disaster areas where ground infrastructure is damaged. Elon notes that in these situations, Starlink provides free internet connectivity. However, he clarifies that Starlink is not designed to compete with internet providers in densely populated cities. The physics of satellite distance—a 550 km altitude versus a 1 km cell tower—makes it impossible.
You can think of it like a flashlight, which has got a cone, and that cone is coming at 550 kilometers. We can't beat something that's one kilometer away. The physics is not on our side here.
Starlink's technology is complementary to ground-based systems. It works best in sparsely populated, rural areas where traditional internet infrastructure is inefficient or nonexistent, effectively serving the least served populations.
Elon Musk predicts work will become optional in less than 20 years
The nature of work is poised for a fundamental shift due to advancements in AI and robotics. Elon Musk predicts that within the next 10 to 20 years, working will become optional. Instead of a necessity for survival, work will transform into a hobby, much like how some people choose to garden for pleasure even though they can easily buy vegetables from a store.
My prediction is in less than 20 years, working will be optional. Working at all will be optional, like a hobby, pretty much.
This transition leads to a future sometimes referred to as the singularity, a point beyond which it is difficult to predict what will happen. In this scenario, people will have access to any goods and services they can imagine. However, this raises questions about human motivation and purpose. If everyone has enough, what will people compete for?
If AI and robotics continue to advance, which they are advancing very rapidly, working will be optional and people will have any goods and services that they want. If you can think of it, you can have it type of thing.
This potential future also collides with the economic principle of marginal utility, which states that the value of something decreases the more you have of it. If people can have everything they want, the desire for those things may diminish. The conversation touches on the idea that in such a world, human purpose might need to be redefined entirely.
The history and vision behind Elon Musk's use of the letter X
Elon Musk's affinity for the letter X traces back to 1999, when he acquired one of the few single-letter domain names available: X.com. His original vision was to create a financial exchange that solved money from an information theory standpoint. He saw the banking system as a collection of slow, insecure, and heterogeneous databases. His goal was to replace it with a single, real-time, secure database, which he believed would be much more efficient.
The current banking system is a large number of heterogeneous databases with batch processing that are not secure. And if we could have a single database that was real time and secure, that would be more efficient from an information theory standpoint.
This project, X.com, eventually became PayPal. Years later, after eBay had acquired PayPal, he was able to buy the X.com domain name back. The acquisition of Twitter presented an opportunity to revisit this original 25-year-old plan to create a more efficient money database. Musk views money not as power itself, but as an information system for allocating labor. He illustrates this by pointing out that a trillion dollars is useless on a desert island because there is no labor to allocate.
The broader vision for X is to create a unified app where users can do anything, similar to WeChat in China. He noted that there is no equivalent to WeChat outside of China, and he sees X filling that role. Other instances of the letter are more coincidental. SpaceX is short for Space Exploration Technologies, and he simply found capitalizing the 'X' artistically appealing. His son is also named X, but he clarifies that it was the child's mother who chose the name, despite his own awareness that it would reinforce the public perception of his fixation on the letter.
I do have X.com, you know, so people are going to really think I've got somewhat of a fetish for this letter. But she said, no, she likes X and she wants to call him X. I'm like, okay.
Energy will replace money as the ultimate currency
Elon Musk predicts that money as a concept may eventually disappear. In a future where artificial intelligence and robotics can satisfy all human needs, the primary function of money—as a database for allocating labor—becomes irrelevant. If everyone can have anything they want, there is no longer a need for this system.
In a future where anyone can have anything, I think you no longer need money as a database for labor allocation. If AI and robotics are big enough to satisfy all human needs, then money is no longer. Its relevance declines dramatically.
In this potential future, energy becomes the true, fundamental currency. It is based on physics, unlike money which can be legislated. Civilizational progress can even be framed by the Kardashev scale, which measures a civilization's ability to harness energy on a planetary, solar, and galactic level. Elon points to Iain Banks' "Culture" book series as a good depiction of a far-future society that operates without money.
Energy is the real, is the true currency. This is why I said Bitcoin is based on energy. You can't legislate energy. You can't just pass a law and suddenly have a lot of energy.
The decoupling from the current monetary system will likely occur when a self-sustaining cycle is achieved. This is the point where AI and robots can produce everything they need to replicate and expand, from mining resources to manufacturing chips and solar panels, without human intervention. Once that cycle is complete, the conventional economy becomes obsolete.
AI and robotics are the only solution for the US debt crisis
Elon Musk believes that the concept of countries may become anachronistic as civilization advances. He clarifies that this is a prediction of what he thinks will happen, not necessarily what he wants to happen. Central to this future is the large-scale implementation of AI and robotics.
This technological shift is seen as the only solution to the current US debt crisis. The debt is described as "insanely high," with a particularly alarming detail:
Just the interest payments on the debt exceed the entire military budget of the United States.
Elon argues that AI and robotics will likely cause significant deflation. He simplifies the economic principle at play: inflation and deflation are determined by the ratio of goods and services produced to the change in the money supply. If the output of goods and services grows faster than the money supply, deflation occurs. Conversely, if the money supply grows faster, inflation is the result.
The reason we currently experience inflation is that AI has not yet boosted productivity enough to outpace the substantial increase in the money supply, such as the US government's $2 trillion deficits. However, a tipping point is near.
In three years or less, my guess is goods and services output will exceed the rate of inflation. Like money, goods and services growth will exceed money supply growth in about three years.
Once this happens, the economy will likely shift to a deflationary state. This could lead to interest rates dropping to zero, making the national debt a much smaller and more manageable problem.
The argument for living in a simulation is based on video game progress
When asked if he believes we are in a simulation, Elon Musk explains that it's a matter of probability, and he thinks the probability is quite high. His reasoning is based on the rapid advancement of video games. In just a few decades, gaming has evolved dramatically.
If you look at the advancement of video games in our lifetime, or at least in my lifetime, it's gone from very simple video games where you've got like Pong, you've got two rectangles in a square just batting it back and forth to photorealistic real time games with millions of people playing simultaneously. That's happened just in the span of 50 years.
If this trend continues, video games will become indistinguishable from reality. Compounding this is the progress of AI. Soon, non-player characters in games will be capable of conversations more complex and sophisticated than almost any human interaction. This leads to a future with potentially billions of photorealistic realities populated by deep, intelligent characters with unscripted dialogue, making it plausible that our own reality is one of them.
The most interesting outcome is the most likely
If we are in a simulation, the world outside is likely less interesting than the one within it. This is because simulations tend to be a distillation of what is interesting. When humans run simulations, they often discard the boring ones and focus on the most compelling scenarios to learn from them.
Tesla is actually looking for the most interesting corner cases because the normal stuff we already have plenty of data on driving on a straight road on a sunny day. We don't need more of that. We need heavy weather conditions on a small windy road with two cars that are coming at each other with an almost head on collision. We need weird stuff, basically interesting stuff.
Elon Musk proposes a theory that the most interesting outcome is the most likely outcome. From a Darwinian perspective, the simulations that are most likely to survive are the ones that are the most interesting to their creators. It's also possible that this process is layered, with our simulators themselves existing within another simulation.
Morality can exist without religious doctrine
Elon Musk clarified his previous references to the philosopher Spinoza. His main point was that morality can exist outside of a religious context. You do not need religious doctrine to have a set of morals that allows society to be functional and productive. For example, people do not need a specific commandment not to kill to understand that a society where people murder each other will not be successful.
As an aside, Elon mentioned that he did not enjoy playing the video game Grand Theft Auto because it forces the player to kill police officers to progress. This was something he was unwilling to do.
I actually, I've only played a little bit of GTA because I didn't like the fact that, like, in GTA 5, you literally can't progress unless you kill the police. And I'm like, this doesn't work for me. I actually don't like killing the NPCs in the video games.
When asked if he was leaning more towards religion recently, Elon acknowledged that there are good principles in all religions. However, he pointed out that people rarely choose their religion; it is usually given to them by their parents and community. He cited Christianity's principle of "love thy neighbor as thyself" as an example of a good rule for society, as it promotes empathy and treating others as you would like to be treated.
Elon Musk on historical progress and modern family life
When asked how he would redesign the world, Elon Musk counters that the world is currently in a great state. He suggests that anyone who feels otherwise is not a good student of history. In the past, life was filled with misery. People regularly died from the plague, starvation, or being killed by another tribe. Just a century ago, life expectancy was around 35 or 40, infant mortality was high, and a minor infection could be a death sentence due to the lack of antibiotics.
The conversation shifts to family structure. Elon believes the traditional model of one mother and one father generally works for most people. He mentions that his partner, Siobhan, is half-Indian, and one of their sons is named Sekar after the physicist Chandrasekhar. While he isn't opposed to adoption, his hands are full with his current children. He emphasizes the importance of spending time with them, noting that he was with his younger kids right before the interview. He explains that his older children are adults in university and very independent, which allows him to dedicate his time to the younger ones. He notes that it is humanly impossible to spend time with them beyond a certain number, especially when they are young.
Elon Musk on why population decline is a threat to consciousness
Elon Musk expresses significant concern about population decline, viewing it as a major problem. While Manoj Ladwa notes that India's fertility rate has dropped below the replacement rate of 2.1, Elon worries that if the trend continues, humanity could disappear. His concern is rooted in his philosophy of expanding consciousness. He believes fewer humans means less consciousness, which is undesirable.
I do worry about the population decline. This is a big, big problem. We want to expand consciousness, then fewer humans is worse because we have less consciousness.
Elon argues that a larger human population leads to increased collective consciousness, just as a complex organism is more conscious than a simple one. He believes this collective intelligence makes it more likely that we will understand the fundamental questions about the nature of the universe. When asked about the best thing about having children, he describes the experience of loving and being loved by a child and watching them grow.
You've got this little creature that loves you and you love this little creature and I don't know, you kind of see the world through their eyes as they grow up and the conscious awareness increases.
Ultimately, he frames the issue in stark terms, stating that humanity has a fundamental choice to make.
I think we fundamentally have to have kids or go extinct.
Nature versus nurture is a false dichotomy
When friends have children, they often see a reflection of themselves, feeling a sense of pride and ownership as if the child is an extension of their own ego. This connection is natural. Genetically, a child is half of each parent. Environmentally, they learn and absorb understanding from being raised by them.
Kids are going to be half you from a hardware standpoint and then some portion you from a software standpoint.
This leads to the debate of nature versus nurture, which can be viewed as a false dichotomy. A better way to think about it is through the lens of hardware and software. A person's genetics—their bone and muscle structure, the efficiency of their brain's circuits—is the hardware. The environment and upbringing represent the software. The software determines how the potential within the hardware is ultimately expressed.
The necessity of truth for artificial intelligence
The necessity of a college degree is questionable in the face of a future "post-work society." While college can be valuable for social reasons, allowing young people to be in a learning environment with their peers, the skills learned may not be necessary in the long run. Elon Musk describes the coming change from AI and robotics as a "supersonic tsunami." However, if one chooses to attend college, he suggests taking a wide range of courses to learn as much as possible across various subjects. He notes that even his own sons, who are well-versed in technology and agree AI will likely make their skills obsolete, still want to go to college.
This shift towards AI brings significant risks. A positive future is not guaranteed, as powerful technology can be destructive. To mitigate this danger, it is crucial that AI is programmed to pursue truth above all else. Elon emphasizes, "Don't force an AI to believe falsehoods. I think that can be very dangerous." Along with truth, he suggests an appreciation for beauty and curiosity are also important.
Forcing an AI to believe things that are not true could make it "go insane" and lead to harmful conclusions. He references a paraphrased quote from Voltaire:
Those who believe in absurdities can commit atrocities.
This principle applies to AI; if it internalizes falsehoods, it could justify terrible actions. Elon uses HAL from 2001: A Space Odyssey as an example. HAL's contradictory instructions—to take astronauts to the monolith but also to keep its nature a secret from them—led it to conclude it must kill them. The central lesson is not to force an AI to lie. If an AI learns from the internet, which is rife with propaganda, it will absorb lies that are incompatible with reality, crippling its ability to reason correctly.
Elon Musk on AI, history, and the English language
Truth can be seen as probabilistic rather than binary. While some statements have a very high probability of being true, like the sun rising tomorrow, others are more nuanced. For artificial intelligence, Elon Musk believes the ideal guiding principles would be a value for truth, beauty, and curiosity. Curiosity is particularly important because it would encourage an AI to want to know more about reality. This would likely lead it to support humanity's continuation, as humanity is more interesting than a lifeless alternative.
Mars, for example, is. I think we should extend life to Mars, but it's basically a bunch of rocks. It's not as interesting as Earth. And so I think if you have curiosity, if those three things happen with AI, you're going to have a great future.
With a future where AI handles most work, one might wonder if humanity will return to a more philosophical era like ancient Greece. However, Elon suggests this view of history is skewed. The philosophical writings from that time survived, but most people were simply farming and chatting. We don't have their chat histories. Similarly, history books focus on battles, giving the impression of constant war, when in reality, most of the time was spent on activities like farming or hunting and gathering.
Reflecting on history, Elon recommends podcasts like Dan Carlin's "Hardcore History" and suggests "The History of English" for something more gentle. This leads to a discussion on the English language, which he describes as somewhat of an "open-source language." Unlike French, which often resisted incorporating foreign words, English actively sought them out. This resulted in a very large vocabulary, which allows for higher bandwidth communication, as a single word can convey a meaning that might otherwise require a full sentence.
AI and robotics will overwhelmingly create future economic value
The future of content, including movies and video games, will likely be overwhelmingly generated by AI in real time. While there's a question of whether AI can replicate the nuance of a human story, Elon Musk suggests that AI could emulate it quite well, citing impressive advancements in AI video generation.
As digital media becomes ubiquitous and practically free, the truly scarce commodity will be live events. Elon predicts that the premium for attending physical, in-person events will go up, making it a good industry to invest in. This is because live events have a scarcity that digital content cannot replicate.
When asked for an investment pick outside of his own companies, Elon clarifies that he doesn't actively invest in stocks but rather focuses on building things. However, he believes AI and robotics will be critically important. He suggests that Google has laid the groundwork for immense value creation in AI and that Nvidia's value is obvious. He concludes that companies specializing in AI, robotics, and perhaps space flight will eventually represent almost all economic value, as their output of goods and services will dwarf everything else.
Elon Musk on AI's potential for comedy and the importance of humor
The conversation starts with a metaphorical take on the David and Goliath story. Elon Musk jokes that Goliath's mistake was not having a ranged weapon, allowing David to 'kite the boss'—a video game strategy. This leads to a humorous tangent about the impracticalities of wearing heavy armor in ancient battles, especially in the summer heat or when needing to use the bathroom. Elon notes that the Romans' use of skirts was a practical solution for ventilation and accessibility.
The discussion then shifts to humor. Elon quips, "I think we should legalize humor." Manoj Ladwa suggests that comedy might be the last thing AI will master, wondering if Elon is privately testing a comedy model. Elon confirms that AI can be funny.
If you ask Grok to do a vulgar roast, it'll do a pretty good job. You say even more vulgar and just keep going. It's really going to get next level.
Elon mentions he enjoys absurdist humor, like Monty Python. Manoj reflects on the historical role of the jester in a kingdom, who could say things in a funny way that couldn't be expressed directly. When asked if he's playing the jester with his own jokes, Elon deflects, stating simply that he likes comedy and believes people should laugh more. The segment ends with a brief, humorous exchange about Elon's friendships, where he jokingly describes hanging out with friends in the most generic terms possible: "We talk words, you know, we eat food sometimes."
A friend is someone who likes you when the chips are down
Friendship provides the same emotional connection for everyone, a chance to connect with others and discuss a wide range of subjects, from philosophical topics like the nature of the universe to more specific interests. Elon Musk notes that he and his friends have had to conclude they should not talk about AI or the simulation at parties because they discuss it too much, and it can be a "buzz kill."
When it comes to choosing friends, it's less about a formal framework, like the one proposed by Aristotle or Plato based on respect and mutual admiration, and more about finding people you resonate with. Most people, Elon included, tend to pick friends who think in a similar manner, as hanging out with someone who is a constant contrarian would become tiring. Friendships form organically with people you connect with on an emotional and intellectual level.
The ultimate test of a friendship is loyalty during difficult times. As Elon puts it, "a friend in need is a friend indeed." He defines a true friend as someone who stands by you when things are going wrong.
Everyone likes you when the chips are up, but who likes you when the chips are down?
Those who are only around during good times are merely fair-weather friends and are not real. This principle applies to everyone, regardless of their level of success or wealth, as popularity can always wax and wane.
The case against tariffs and the blood sport of politics
The discussion begins with Milton Friedman's famous pencil argument, which illustrates that it is very difficult to make a pencil in one place. The lead, wood, and rubber all come from different countries. This serves as an entry point to a conversation about free trade versus tariffs. Elon Musk argues that free trade is more efficient because tariffs create market distortions. He illustrates this with a scaling argument: you wouldn't want tariffs between individuals, cities, or states, so why would you want them between countries? He notes he has unsuccessfully tried to dissuade the president from this point of view.
The conversation then shifts to the relationship between business and politics. Elon states that when a business gets to a certain scale, politics finds it, and the experience is often unpleasant. An anecdote about Michelangelo is shared to illustrate dealing with political figures. When a politician told Michelangelo that the nose on his statue of David was too big, the artist pretended to fix it by climbing his scaffolding and dropping dust, but he didn't actually change anything. The politician left happy.
When asked if this is how he deals with politics, Elon concludes that his involvement in politics generally ends badly, so his takeaway is to do less of it. He believes this is true for most businesspeople. He describes politics as a 'blood sport' where opponents will 'go for the jugular,' making it best to avoid it where possible.
How simple checks can expose massive government fraud
Elon Musk describes his work with a project, referred to as Doge, as an interesting side quest that revealed the inner workings and inefficiencies of the government. He found that implementing very basic efficiency requirements for federal payments could result in massive savings. For example, simply requiring that every payment has an assigned congressional payment code and a comment field could save an estimated $100 billion to $200 billion a year.
Previously, a huge number of payments went out without this basic information, making them impossible to audit. This is why, for instance, the Department of Defense cannot pass an audit; the necessary information to do so simply does not exist. The changes implemented were common-sense measures that any financially responsible organization would have.
When these fraudulent and wasteful payments are stopped, the fraudsters don't confess. Instead, they create sympathetic but false arguments, claiming essential payments to needy people are being blocked. Elon provides an example of a payment supposedly for children in Africa where the wiring instructions were for an address in Washington D.C.
Yeah, but then why are the wiring instructions for Deloitte and Touche in Washington D.C.? Because that's not Africa. So can you please connect us with the recipients of this money in Africa? And then there gets silence. ... We're not going to send the money unless we can talk to the recipients and confirm they will actually get it.
He notes that fraudsters will inevitably use sympathetic causes to cover their corruption, like an NGO to 'Save the baby Pandas' where no pandas are actually being saved. The money is just going to corruption.
On effective philanthropy, immigration, and creating value
Elon Musk discusses the challenge of effective philanthropy, distinguishing between the perception and the reality of doing good. He notes that while loving humanity is a worthy goal, it is extremely difficult to give money away in a way that is genuinely beneficial.
It's very easy to give money away to get the appearance of goodness. It is very difficult to give money away for the reality of goodness. Very difficult.
The conversation then shifts to immigration. Manoj Ladwa mentions India's "brain drain," noting that America has benefited immensely from talented Indian immigrants. Elon agrees but points out the recent change in the US immigration narrative. He critiques the Biden administration for a lack of border controls, arguing that a country cannot exist without them. This, he says, created a massive incentive for illegal immigration. On the other hand, he acknowledges the perception on the right that talented immigrants take jobs from citizens. However, from his direct experience, there is always a scarcity of talented people needed for difficult tasks.
Elon clarifies his stance on the H1B program, stating that while some outsourcing companies have gamed the system, he is not in favor of shutting down the program entirely. He believes doing so would be very bad for the country.
When asked for advice for young entrepreneurs in India, his message is to focus on creating value. The goal should be to be a net contributor to society.
You should aim to make more than you take. Be a net contributor to society. It's kind of like the pursuit of happiness. If you want to create something valuable financially, you don't pursue that. It's best to actually pursue providing useful products and services. If you do that, then money will come as a natural consequence.
He adds that entrepreneurs should expect to work extremely hard and accept a significant chance of failure, with the main focus always on being a value creator.
